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Diskussionspapiere - Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)

International Tail Risk and World Fear

Autor: Duc Binh Benno Nguyen and Marcel Prokopczuk and Chardin Wese Simen
Nummer: 620, Nov 2017, pp. 60
JEL-Class: G01, G11, G12, G17

Abstract:
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns. Buying stocks with high sensitivities to World Fear while selling stocks with low sensitivities generates excess returns of up to 2.72% per month.

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