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The Cost of Borders: Evidence from the Eurasian Customs Union

Autor: Hinnerk Gnutzmann and Arevik Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan
Nummer: 664, Jan 2020, pp. 30
JEL-Class: F14, F15, F55

How strongly can the reduction in bureaucracy and red tape at the border increase trade? To address this, we study an ambitious trade facilitation policy - the complete abolition of internal customs controls - in the Eurasian Customs Union. Using a structural gravity model with high-dimensional fixed effects, we find evidence that non-tariff trade facilitation strongly and robustly increases the number of newly traded products. The value of trade, however, reacts more strongly to a traditional tariff-driven diversion of trade towards union members. Trade facilitation policies can diversify bilateral trade, highlighting the importance of trade analysis at the extensive margin.


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